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A swing vote is a vote that is seen as potentially going to any of a number of candidates in an election, or, in a two-party system, may go to either of the two dominant political parties. Such votes are usually sought after in election campaigns, since they can play a big role in determining the outcome.
Swing Vote: Directed by Joshua Michael Stern. With Kevin Costner, Madeline Carroll, Paula Patton, Kelsey Grammer. In a remarkable turn-of-events, the result of the presidential election comes down to one man's vote.
Sep 26, 2024 · We define swing voters as the roughly 18 percent of likely voters who say they haven’t yet made a firm decision. Some describe themselves as undecided, while others say they’re...
6 days ago · Over the last five months, Data for Progress has released multiple reports on swing voters, based on a unique methodology considering factors like vote history and 2024 vote choice, to better understand the key voters who are still undecided ahead of the 2024 presidential election.. The composition and size of our swing voter sample have changed since our first report in May, with Kamala Harris likely capturing a large chunk of more liberal swing voters who were not certain to vote for Joe ...
Nov 9, 2021 · Working-class swing voters tend to favor generous versions of Medicare, Social Security and other universal government benefits, polls consistently show.
Swing voting arises not only among voters who lack partisan attachments or political sophistication, but also those who experience conflict between the parties on salient policy issues (see also Green Reference Green 2020).
Both models envision two parties competing to win an election by promising to distribute targetable goods to various groups, should they be elected. Cox and McCubbins argue that vote-maximizing parties will allocate distributive benefits primarily to their core voters.
May 30, 2024 · In recent years, analysts have used various methodologies to identify swing voters, including vote-switchers (Biden-to-Trump or Trump-to-Biden), undecided voters, and those who report similar favorability ratings toward the major candidates.
Apr 10, 2024 · With 2% of participants shifting from Mr Biden to Mr Trump versus just 1% doing the opposite, swing voters contribute a full percentage point to Mr Trump’s two-way vote share.
2 days ago · Roughly 40 percent of those surveyed by the Times/Siena poll across the seven states said they had voted. Ms. Harris wins those voters by a margin of eight percentage points, the polls found. Mr ...