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- By identifying potential risks and benefits, taking proactive steps to minimize knowable and avoidable risks, embracing flexibility to adapt to new information, and building resilience against unforeseeable challenges, we can navigate both personal and professional decisions more effectively.
www.psychologytoday.com/intl/blog/a-hovercraft-full-of-eels/202407/navigating-the-landscape-of-unintended-consequences
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Jun 10, 2019 · We identify three main challenges for policymakers and evaluators: being able to identify and evaluate unintended effects, to avoid creating unintended effects and being able to explain these effects.
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Nov 10, 2016 · Unfortunately, the complexity of causes mitigates the value of recommendations to avoid unwanted outcomes. Suggestions are often contentious rather than obvious, setting-specific, and not universally applicable.
- R. Koppel, Y. Chen
- 2016
Feb 1, 2021 · How can policymakers improve their practices, so as to avoid negative unintended consequences, when possible? 5 An important first step in addressing this question is to model situations where unintended consequences are inherent. In the present paper, we make progress in this regard.
- Lorán Chollete, Sharon G Harrison
- 10.1057/s41302-021-00187-7
- 2021
- East Econ J. 2021; 47(2): 206-226.
- The Nature of Unintended Consequences
- The Causes of Unintended Consequences
- Evidence Use
- Responding to Unintended Consequences
Broadly, participants agreed politicians and interventionists are motivated by the desire to improve social outcomes, and believe that their actions will work. It was accepted that policymakers knew that sometimes not all policies worked for all, even harming some. Politically, this means that discussion of UCs, let alone evaluation of them, was ch...
Participants felt that there were a range of reasons and multiple causes for UCs, not all of which were under our control. Some cautioned against assuming that ‘better’ policy design would lead to reduced potential for negative impacts, and that it was never really possible to know in detail how a policy would affect all groups. For those, the ques...
Cutting across these themes was a discussion about evidence use: in developing policies, regarding the involvement of stakeholders, and in evaluating polices. Some participants felt that UCs indicated that a policy problem had not been well posed in the first place, or not based on an evidence-informed theory. Policy-makers needed to consider the i...
Participants were split over whether it was possible to predict or identify UCs. Some felt that this was an unachievable goal in most cases, while others pointed to concrete ways in which uncertainty could be addressed: involving consumers, service users and other stakeholders; testing and piloting interventions; designing ‘nested’ interventions wh...
- Kathryn Oliver, Theodore Eliot Lorenc, Jane Tinkler, Chris Bonell
- 2019
Aug 7, 2020 · We can't avoid unintended consequences. Second-order thinking is just about being more thoughtful about those risks. It's a simple tool that can make us smarter, too.
Oct 3, 2021 · Within each category, examples of unintended consequences are given to highlight a different aspect of the role of knowledge and systems thinking in decision-making, and to demonstrate how unintended consequences may be avoided, or mitigated once they have occurred.
Jun 27, 2018 · When unintended consequences appear, claims can be raised that they should have been possible to foresee, and other options should have been chosen to avoid these consequences.
