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  1. 1 day ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which...

  2. 6 days ago · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us...

  3. Jun 11, 2024 · As of July 21 at 2 p.m. Eastern, President Joe Biden has suspended his campaign for the 2024 Democratic Party nomination for president. We will publish an election forecast including the new...

  4. Build An NBA Contender With Our Roster-Shuffling Machine. By Ryan Best and Jay Boice. Jun 14, 2023. The Best NBA Players, According To RAPTOR. By Ryan Best, Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Jun 13, 2023....

  5. 5 days ago · Over the 24 hours to 4pm on Tuesday, the implied probability of a Harris victory had risen from 40 per cent to 43 per cent, according to the political prediction market PredictIt. The likelihood ...

  6. Trump Breaks With RNC Message On Night 4 | 538 Politics Podcast. On the final night of the Republican National Convention, Donald Trump accepted the Republican nomination and spoke publicly for ...

  7. Apr 21, 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”. Apr. 25, 2023.

  8. Nov 3, 2020 · FiveThirtyEight has issued its final presidential forecast. There hasn’t been a lot of change over the past 24 or 48 hours, as most of the late polling either c…

  9. Nov 8, 2022 · Latest forecasts and polls for the 2022 midterm elections from ABC News’s FiveThirtyEight

  10. Nov 3, 2020 · Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.

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