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The Thucydides Trap, or Thucydides' Trap, is a term popularized by American political scientist Graham T. Allison to describe an apparent tendency towards war when an emerging power threatens to displace an existing great power as a regional or international hegemon.
Escaping Thucydides’s Trap is not just a theoretical possibility. In four of the 16 cases, including three from the 20th century, imaginative statecraft averted war. Can Washington and Beijing steer their ships of state through today’s treacherous shoals?
This article delves into the Thucydides Trap, its implications for contemporary international politics, and its relevance in shaping strategic thinking. Understanding the Thucydides Trap. Thucydides, the ancient Greek historian, chronicled the Peloponnesian War between Athens and Sparta.
Apr 4, 2024 · Central to Allison's work is the concept of the "Thucydides Trap," a term he coined in his book, Destined for War. It refers to the precarious situation when an ascending power threatens to displace an established one—a situation that historically has often led to war.
CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES ARE HEADING TOWARD A WAR NEITHER WANTS. The reason is Thucydides's Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one. This phenomenon is as old as history itself.
The Thucydides’s Trap Case File (below) presents summaries of all sixteen cases, which are featured in Graham Allison's new book Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap? Using the cases, Allison illustrates how tension between rising and ruling powers has often led to war—while also showing how war was avoided in ...
Graham Tillett Allison Jr. (born March 23, 1940) is an American political scientist and the Douglas Dillon Professor of Government at the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University. He is known for his contributions in the late 1960s and early 1970s to the bureaucratic analysis of decision making, especially during times of crisis.His book Remaking Foreign Policy: The Organizational Connection, co-written with Peter Szanton, was published in 1976 and influenced the foreign ...
Jun 9, 2017 · The Thucydides Trap. When one great power threatens to displace another, war is almost always the result — but it doesn’t have to be. By Graham Allison, a professor of government at the Harvard...
May 18, 2022 · In the background of the heated debate on US-China power transition, Graham Allison popularizes the phrase “Thucydides’s trap” to contemplate the very likelihood that the U.S., a currently dominant power, comes to war with China, a rising power. He...
Mar 21, 2021 · The Thucydides Trap Explained. The term was coined by US political Scientist, Graham Allison. Graham used Thucydides old throw away line to explain a tendency towards war throughout history when a rising power comes to challenges the status of a dominant power.
