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  1. Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”

  2. Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. Click to read Silver Bulletin, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.

  3. 4 days ago · Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1.

  4. en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Nate_SilverNate Silver - Wikipedia

    Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023.

  5. Jun 26, 2024 · It’s finally time to step behind the velvet rope of the paywall so that we can have an adult conversation. It’s a big day here at Silver Bulletin: the launch of our presidential election forecast. We’ve 1 just published three items at the same time — so let me give you the lay of the land.

  6. Nov 3, 2020 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. @natesilver538

  7. Trump and Biden talk taxes at 1st debate. New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik and senior election analyst Nathaniel Rakich join the 538 Politics podcast to discuss the first presidential ...

  8. Nov 3, 2020 · Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silvers FiveThirtyEight.

  9. Nate Silver - The New York Times. Recent and archived work by Nate Silver for The New York Times. Latest. Guest Essay. What a Split in Consumer Confidence Means for Biden. Americans...

  10. Jun 8, 2021 · By Nate Silver. Filed under 2020 Election. PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES. Welcome to the latest installment of what we’re hoping to make a biennial practice: an...

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