Bud Johnson
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A swing vote is a vote that is seen as potentially going to any of a number of candidates in an election, or, in a two-party system, may go to either of the two dominant political parties. Such votes are usually sought after in election campaigns, since they can play a big role in determining the outcome.
A swing voter is a voter who is not strongly committed to either candidate and could change their mind until Election Day. This chapter explains how to identify swing voters in survey data and compares them to other voters in terms of their attitudes and behavior.
May 30, 2024 · In recent years, analysts have used various methodologies to identify swing voters, including vote-switchers (Biden-to-Trump or Trump-to-Biden), undecided voters, and those who report similar favorability ratings toward the major candidates.
Apr 10, 2024 · With 2% of participants shifting from Mr Biden to Mr Trump versus just 1% doing the opposite, swing voters contribute a full percentage point to Mr Trump’s two-way vote share.
Nov 9, 2021 · Working-class swing voters tend to favor generous versions of Medicare, Social Security and other universal government benefits, polls consistently show.
Swing voting arises not only among voters who lack partisan attachments or political sophistication, but also those who experience conflict between the parties on salient policy issues (see also Green Reference Green 2020).
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Jun 13, 2024 · About 240 million people are eligible to vote in this year’s US election, but only a relatively small number of them are likely to settle the question of who becomes the next president.
