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Jun 28, 2018 · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.
Dec 6, 2022 · What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? A FiveThirtyEight Chat. Filed under 2024 Election. Dec. 20, 2022.
Trump and Biden talk taxes at 1st debate. New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik and senior election analyst Nathaniel Rakich join the 538 Politics podcast to discuss the first presidential ...
Apr 21, 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”. Apr. 25, 2023.
Nov 3, 2020 · ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / FABIO BUONOCORE. FiveThirtyEight has issued its final presidential forecast. There hasn’t been a lot of change over the past 24 or 48 hours, as most of the...
Mar 10, 2023 · Taken altogether, the polls in our pollster-ratings database have a weighted-average 3 error of 6.0 points since 1998. However, polling in the 2021-22 election cycle had a weighted-average error ...
Jun 28, 2018 · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.
Aug 12, 2020 · At the core of the modeled estimate is FiveThirtyEight’s partisan lean index, which reflects how the state voted in the past two presidential elections as compared with the national average.
538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin.
Nov 8, 2022 · Hey readers, thanks for following along with FiveThirtyEight’s 2022 midterm elections live blog. With the Senate and governors races (mostly) settled, and only about a dozen House races still...
