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Jun 28, 2018 · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us...
Jun 11, 2024 · Four months out from Election Day, the 2024 presidential election is a pure toss-up. Right now, President Joe Biden is favored to win in 465 out of 1,000 of our model’s simulations of how the...
Dec 6, 2022 · What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? A FiveThirtyEight Chat. Filed under 2024 Election. Dec. 20, 2022.
Feb 2, 2023 · Build An NBA Contender With Our Roster-Shuffling Machine. By Ryan Best and Jay Boice. Jun 14, 2023. The Best NBA Players, According To RAPTOR. By Ryan Best, Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Jun 13, 2023....
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen and Elliott talk about the latest polling data. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections ...
4 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf,...
Jun 28, 2018 · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based...
Nov 3, 2020 · FiveThirtyEight has issued its final presidential forecast. There hasn’t been a lot of change over the past 24 or 48 hours, as most of the late polling either c…
May 23, 2023 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
Feb 22, 2024 · 538’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and methodological transparency of each polling organization’s polls. We define accuracy as the average adjusted error...
