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4 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE.
Dec 6, 2022 · What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? A FiveThirtyEight Chat. Filed under 2024 Election. Dec. 20, 2022.
Apr 21, 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”. Apr. 25, 2023.
Jun 28, 2018 · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based...
Nov 3, 2020 · FiveThirtyEight has issued its final presidential forecast. There hasn’t been a lot of change over the past 24 or 48 hours, as most of the late polling either c…
Mar 10, 2023 · Taken altogether, the polls in our pollster-ratings database have a weighted-average 3 error of 6.0 points since 1998. However, polling in the 2021-22 election cycle had a weighted-average error ...
Nov 8, 2022 · Latest forecasts and polls for the 2022 midterm elections from ABC News’s FiveThirtyEight
Nov 3, 2020 · Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.
Aug 12, 2020 · Enhancing our polling averages. At the core of the modeled estimate is FiveThirtyEight’s partisan lean index, which reflects how the state voted in the past two presidential elections as ...
538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin.
