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Jun 11, 2024 · 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Joe Biden’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed it into a web page.
2 days ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
2024 Presidential Election Forecasts. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 Presidential forecast.
Donald Trump had a clear lead over Joe Biden. Last updated on July 18th 2024. Editor’s note (July 21st): Joe Biden has stepped down as the Democratic nominee. We have paused the forecast until we...
2 days ago · Election 2024 Polls: The Harris vs. Trump Matchup Updated July 29, 2024 We’re tracking polls that include Vice President Kamala Harris, the likely Democratic presidential nominee, and former ...
Jul 21, 2024 · 2024 Presidential Forecast and Predictions. Last Updated: Thursday, July 18, 10:39 AM EDT. Our model currently predicts that Donald Trump has a 56% chance of winning the Presidency....
The Economist’s statistical forecast of American presidential elections has returned for its second contest in 2024. Developed with the assistance of a team of political scientists led by...
2 days ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
4 days ago · US election 2024. Prediction model; Polls; Build-a-voter; ... In California she won stepping-stone elections as a prosecutor by leaning to the right on criminal-justice issues, while also ...
